Monday, December 24, 2012

Dear Apps, why can we not just all get along?

Ecosystem could be "the word" of 2013, if only vendors, providers, ISVs and other technology conglomerates stop acting in a “This Town ain’t big enough for the both of us“ way.

As an App user* I am increasingly amazed, affected and annoyed by what in my view can only be described as turf wars between various technology providers. Increasingly cooperation - that originated by a desire to have a quick time to market - is being replaced by outright competition driven by a desire to own the full stack. Some recent examples:

  • Phone manufacturers replacing perfectly good map applications with in-house brews*
  • Search engines wanting to become social networks*
  • Social networks* and web retailers* wanting to become advertising specialists
  • Photo filtering apps opting out of 140 char event timelines* and v.v. event timeline apps adding photo filtering*
  • Email providers abandoning the use of third party sync to enterprise messaging apps*
  • Providers replacing third party music and movie services with in-house variants limited to their stack*
  • Just about everyone adding their own inline chat and messaging functionality*
  • Not to mention the various patent wars companies are waging, trying to block each other out of their home markets*
Now I am not against healthy competition (on the contrary) but as a consumer I fail to see how these developments are benefiting me. It seems many companies are answering the markets desire for integration by forcing consumers into their own, closed, single stack shops.

With cloud computing rapidly breaking down the walls between traditional industry segments, times are confusing for providers. Where we used to buy hardware and software form different vendors and solicited help - to get these two to work together - from yet a third category of providers, these demarcation lines are now rapidly blurring. Hardware and software are merging into services, while at the same time we see phones behaving like camera’s, tablets behaving like PCs and TVs behaving like tablets. Naturally companies are worried about where in that blurring supply chain the largest profits will fall and as a result everyone seems determined to own the whole chain, wall to wall and soup to nuts.

But increasingly the limiting factor in market success is no longer the ability of providers to supply functionality, it is the capability of consumers to absorb functionality. Aan - at least at my age - once I mastered the science how to color my pictures, how to create a playlist, how to interact socially, how to access my email, etc., etc., I just want to be able to continue to do so, but in a seamlessly integrated fashion. I don’t want to replace it with a new app, that does virtually the same, but in a different way.

Just a couple of years ago there was a lot of talk and enthusiasm about “Open Innovation”, where companies could make the market pie bigger by working together (instead of fighting over who got what piece of the existing pie). To some extend it is the old “single vendor” versus “best of breed” dilemma, do I concentrate on having a good enough homogeneous product that does it all, or do I focus on building the best product for my functional area and work/integrate closely with others (at the risk their area turns out to be more profitable (in market speak: has a better business model)). In other words do I go integrated/closed/proprietary or more interoperable/open/standard.

My believe (or at least my hope) is that companies that act more from the perspective of consumers/customers, than from their own financial/shareholder perspective, will eventually come out better. Note however that in this context it is very important to understand exactly who the customer is: is it the user buying access to the service or the advertiser buying access to the user (in which case the user is merely the product being sold). If the app economy is to continue to grow, it will need to increasingly address the primary customer (the users). And if (granted, a big if) the market is a bit like me , it will prefer ecosystems of leading open apps over fully integrated closed stacks.

Traditionally, before the current trend towards exclusion instead of collaboration took hold, the silicon valley pressure cooker was the center of such collaboration. Maybe Europe - being a collaborative environment by nature - can step into its place and use this as much needed differentiator against the increasingly mega-large, mega-integrated and mega-closed conglomerates from Asia and North America.

Sunday, December 2, 2012

Lean and Low in Las Vegas

Those of you who followed my blog for a while know that the idea of applying manufacturing best practices to cloud computing is a favorite topic of mine*. This week the topic popped up in a fireside chat (the popular term for keynotes delivered from a set of armchairs, often with no fire in sight) between Amazon’s CTO Werner Vogel and CEO Jeff Bezos at re:Invent, the first Amazon Web Services customer conference.

I won't cover the conference here - many blogs and media sites already did - but in the chat Bezos made a number of interesting points on how principles of lean manufacturing are guiding Amazon’s overall endeavors and how cloud computing both supports and benefits from this approach. He discussed how – for developers- this approach turns the cost of infrastructure operations from an abstract overhead-like concept into a very visible direct cost they can directly influence. And how the cost of quality is always lower than the cost of non-quality, as fixing problems later - after it has shipped to the customer – is many times more expensive than doing things first time right. But also how cloud computing allows to continuously improve products and processes (similar to how factory workers at Toyota were empowered to stop the production line and jointly improve the process). He also stressed the importance of focusing on customers and their requirements (by continuously measuring and providing feedback loops) instead of focusing on competitors or winning.

A 70/30 rule
In the chat Bezos also discussed his assertion from an earlier interview that- with customers being more connected through social media and through the transparency that internet and big data is bringing to all markets – the effective way of doing business is flipping from spending 30% on creating a product and 70% on "shouting about it" (making sure - through marketing and sales activities - that people know about it and buy it) to the reverse. A new reality, where it makes more sense to spend the majority of energy, effort and cost on building the best possible product and a significantly smaller effort on communication and delivery. In other words, the more transparent markets are becoming, the more product quality (being fit for purpose) will rule success.

This in turn makes working on product quality (though principles such as Lean) more important, but - taking this beyond was what was said on stage – is also likely to drive total costs down and result in lower overall prices. For the enterprise IT industry - where a lot of the product costs stem from the lengthy sales & implementation cycles that traditional complex enterprise products require – this may turn out to be a very disruptive development. In fact, earlier in the week Amazon had a panel of their partners discuss their experiences and - although they all created some impressive new cloud successes for their customers - you could sense they all realized that going forward the world was no longer going to be what it was before.

A valid question to ask is whether the whole Enterprise IT industry will follow this trend. In other words: what percentage of large enterprise organizations will be interested (and able!) to adopt the self service, super market model of the cloud (see also A Cloud That Cares? Or About Eating Your Cloud And Having it too). Will there be a large percentage that prefers ready made meals (instead of home cooking using super market ingredients - One could think of SaaS solutions in this context) or will there be a significant number of organizations that - voluntarily or forced by a lack of in house capabilities - continues to prefer a full service restaurant model, where the provider does not just supply the ingredients, but also does most of the day to day work?

Let's end with a question you may want to ask yourself: When looking at your markets and customers, how fast are they moving from a 30/70 to a 70/30 model and how prepared is your organization for that?


* In one of my first Gartner blog posts I wrote about the Rise of IT-dustrialization , earlier publications include “LEAN and the Art of Cloud Computing Management (2010)” and my LeanITmanager blog.