Monday, October 25, 2010

GITEX 2010: Clouds in a country where it never rains

Last week Jim Murphy of Gartner and I opened up the Cloud ConfEx, an executive conference that ran as a part of the GITEX tradeshow in Dubai. Personally, I had not been in the region for the good part of 10 years, so I was very interested to see how it had developed since. Last time I was in Dubai the Burj al Arab was there and so were some of the other landmark buildings. But the artificial islands called The Palm and the tallest building in the world, the Burj Khalifa, did not even exist as an idea back then. I went to Dubai with questions about how high the interest in cloud computing would be and what it’s potential might be in an emerging region and growing economy like the United Arab Emirates.
The initial feedback from the market research we are completing on cloud computing in emerging markets (to be published in a few weeks) shows some reluctance and apprehension towards private cloud, but a significantly higher interest in public clouds. Jim Murphy gave Dubai a 24 hour head start on the rest of the world by presenting the Cloud approach that Gartner launched to the rest of the world at their ITxpo event in Florida a day later. Prior to Jim’s presentation, I talked to the audience about how cloud can be especially beneficial for doing new things. Which means that fast growing markets, where a lot of new consumers are entering the market and new services are introduced daily, can benefit a lot more than markets where it is more about consolidation and making current services more efficient.

A valid question in this context is what this new generation of cloud services will be about. Mainframes were about (batch and OLTP) transaction processing, distributed systems were about departmental and integrated planning systems, web-systems were about e-commerce (remember when everything was called e-something?) and cloud will be about …? My feeling is cloud will be about collaboration, and with collaboration I don’t mean offering twitter or facebook clones to employees so they can waste just as much time at work as they do at home :-). I mean collaboration between multiple parties (organizations, enterprises) in global supply chains. Modern companies will not be vertically integrated like the Ford Motor company was at the beginning of the last century. They will not do ALL their design, production, distribution, planning, marketing, sales and accounting themselves. They will consume many or even most of these as services. The cloud – being internet-based by design – is ideally suited for that. In my session I went on to discuss the impact of this on traditional IT aspects like security, automation, management etc.

But back to the region… . The next day I was invited to present cloud computing at the Colleges of Higher Technology in Abu Dhabi. Abu Dhabi is the largest of the Emirates and the Colleges of Higher Technology are an important source of management talent for the region and work closely with many well-known and esteemed universities and research institutions around the world. I won’t mention the many world leaders and Nobel prize winners that taught or lectured there as I don’t want to imply I somehow would fit on that list, but it is clear the region takes higher technology education very seriously. And not just for men but also for women, our session actually took place at the Womens College, with a curriculum stimulating students to start their own companies and if needed be able to find work they can do from home. Abu Dhabi is currently planning a new state-of-the-art and very environmental friendly new campus (which is no small fact in a country where the average day temperature is above 40 degrees centigrade and where the need to save energy does not come from a lack of local natural resources.)

What is interesting is the region’s natural tendency to institute an ecosystem of service providers. The Colleges of Higher Technology provide central facilities to about 20 local colleges in addition to an international executive training program. We see the same in other types of infrastructure -- there is an organization providing IT services to many of the government agencies and companies, such as the local oil and energy companies. In an economy where investing the proceeds of current economic activities into growth and future economic activities is the model, the planning of central services and aggregate providers comes natural. Not that it feels anything like the old archetypes of planned economies with their 5-year plans we know from other regions. In fact one could argue that using a provider-consumer model seems almost designed to take advantage of the cloud model.

A little example of what I mean by central services. At some point I managed to lose my suitcase in the trunk of a local taxi. While my luggage was touring the beautiful city of Dubai by itself I started a quest to retrieve it. Turns out the various taxi companies in Dubai (there are about 5, recognizable by different color roofs) all use the same dispatching service, have a joint lost and found department (conveniently located at the airport) and the location of any taxi can be tracked throughout the whole state using a combination of GPS and satellite systems. The only glitch was the fact that a call center was involved (which was as useful and helpful here as call centers anywhere else in the world), but having found a way to circumvent that and talk directly to the central services (by using the personal phone of another taxi driver) I was able to rejoin with my suitcase before leaving later that night.

As my suitcase now has seen more of Dubai than me I guess I need to go back soon. Which is not unimaginable, given the potential the region seems to have for cloud … and despite the fact it only rains about once a year.

Saturday, October 23, 2010

Counting down to Cloud Expo west

Just back from Gitex (more about this later) and it is only one week to go to Cloud Expo west, which starts Monday November 1st. I will be speaking in track 4 “Real-World Cloud Computing & Virtualization” on Wednesday at 6:25 PM (the cloud is no 9-5 affair) about How Cloud and Virtualization Are Changing the Way Business and IT Will Interact.

After speaking about this in Prague in June I was invited to give my perspectives also at the event in Santa Clara. Only 5 months have passed, but in cloud terms that is a life time. Come by and check out what has changed. If you cannot wait for that, have a quick peek at the below conversation I had with Brian McKenna of Reed publishing at a recent event in London (which by the way is tipped as the location for Cloud Expo Europe 2011). It was after "The BIG debate: Outsourcing versus Cloud" a keynote panel with representatives from HP, IBM, Symantec and CA. For those keeping score: the cloud won!.










PS unlike in Europe I wont be the only speaker form CA Technologies at Cloud Expo, far from that. As you may have noticed (and unless you were on a cloud or under a rock I cannot imagine how you may have missed it) CA did no less then 6 cloud acquisitions recently (see CRN’s graphical review of these). Most of these acquisitions will be represented at Cloud Expo in some shape or form. That’s the thing with aquiring technology innovators, they are determined and industrious, so they do not change their plans to tell the world about their great ideas, just because somebody acquired them.

We however managed to convince most of them to share space on the expo floor. The fact that this also made them a partner in the party organised by 3tera did help (that’s another thing with innovative startup’s, they sure know how to throw a party, just ask the crowd that came to the 3tera party at VMworld Europe two weeks ago). I can’t disclose the theme of the party yet - as large companies like ours have strict rules on sharing insider knowledge - but can tell you it is Tuesday evening and you need to come by Stand 100 for a ticket. Hope to see you there, BTW the sessions by my colleagues are:

Is There a Right Way to Build a Cloud?
Prabhakar Gopalan, Mon. Nov. 1, 4:40-5:25pm

How the Cloud is Changing the Role of IT and What to do About IT
Jay Fry, Tue. Nov. 2, 2:25-3:10pm

Advanced Cloud Architectures: Security by Design with Zero-Trust Network Architecture
Peter Nickolov, Tue. Nov. 2, 5:35-6:20pm

How Cloud and Virtualization Are Changing the Way Business and IT Will Interact
Gregor Petri, Wed. Nov. 3, 6:25-7:10pm

Making cloud and equal partner in the enterprise (bootcamp session)
Jay Fry, Th.Nov.4, 9.55 – 10.40 am

Changing the Game: How to Get a Cloud Service Up and Running in Less Than 30 Days
Adam Famularo, Th. Nov.4, 1:35 - 2:05 pm

Friday, October 15, 2010

A (real-time) blog from VMworld Europe

Originaly published at ca.com/blogs on October 12 2010, 03:56 AM


This is a live blog, so appologies apologies for typo's and possible other errors.

This morning 6000 people streamed into the Bella center in Kopenhavn to see the VMworld opening keynote. I'll cover the new items compared to the event in San Francisco. According to VMware's CMO virtualization is about efficiency (utilization), reliability but foremost about Agility. Business' more and more rely or even consist completely of IT and if IT is not agile neither is the business. Paul Maritz opens by sharing some statistics: the number of X86 deployments on virtual infrastructure has now superseded the deployments on physical infrastructure (now, of course, most of these physical deployments will still exist tomorrow (on their way to becoming legacy) while the virtual ones may be gone tomorrow). More statistics: there are now more than 10 million VMs growing at 28%. There are more copies of Windows and Linux on virtual machines than on physical machines. Maritz called the virtualization layer the "new infrastructure layer," making it very clear VMware is creating the new platform (some might say the new Windows).

According to Maritz, this new infrastructure will be very much about automation and management, with automation going first (management is the necessary evil, the value add comes from automation). This new infrastructure is not just about compute power, but also about storage and networking, but the biggest change will be in security. Security also needs to leave the physical realm and move into the virtual realm with security focused on logical boundaries instead of physical boundaries. Getting security right will be very important to enabling this innovation and agility that virtualization promises. Onto private and hybrid clouds and a new way to "purchase infrastructure". Hybrid clouds is (as described in this blog earlier) defined by VMware as running VMware in your own data center and running VMware in the data center of your service provider(s). Personally I think the world will be a bit more hybrid and so should be hybrid clouds. But it is interesting to see how hybrid is rapidly becoming mainstream (despite apprehensions about security).

Next: Applications. Maritz feels that virtualization is only used to re-host 15 year old (often still batch oriented) applications on a new infrastructure, it will not add the agility the business is looking for. So the new agile world will require new applications build on a new (development) platform. And - no surprise here -- Maritz sees a big role for Java running on the Springsource framework (again my expectation is that reality may be a bit more hybrid). And just like the virtualization hypervisor layer, these development frameworks isolate the application further form the hardware and make them more portable. By developing in springsource or similar platforms -- like ruby on rails -- application portability again becomes a possibility or even a reality. (Had not heard about this Holy Grail for a while, but do remember -- and have lived through -- the 4GL era, where 4GL tools basically ran your application on anything that came with a plug. Somehow Java killed that movement, but it seems to be making a return as development frameworks that can run on many PaaS platforms (like Google Appworld and Force.com.)

In record speed Martiz went on to Rogue IT a.k.a SaaS applications. He mentioned that 15 applications in VMware somehow made it into the door of VMware and how internal IT is left holding the bag and expected to support them in a compliant and secure manor. Maritz compares this to the entry of rogue PCs and departmental servers entering companies in the '80s. The observation is correct and it is a real challenge. Maritz feelds IT needs to focus on delivering applications and not on managing and monitoring devices (we see the same challenge and feel that adopting a supply chain approach is the pragmatic answer to this, as opposed to a more traditional manufacturing/factory oriented approach).

At this moment Maritz hands over to the CTO to discuss some of the innovations VMware is working on in its product stack, he starts with the core: Vsphere (called "The virtual Giant" on the slide).